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Championship
Referee: D Coote
0–0
Full-time
Millwall
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
This season — Championship · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
41%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 61%
55%
66%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 10. · Millwall 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 29 16 7 6 +20 55
2 West Brom 29 14 11 4 +18 53
3 Nott'm Forest 29 14 9 6 +12 51
4 Fulham 27 14 6 7 +13 48
5 Bristol City 29 13 8 8 +3 47
6 Preston 29 13 7 9 +8 46
7 Swansea 27 12 9 6 +6 45
8 Millwall 29 11 11 7 +3 44
9 Blackburn 29 12 7 10 +6 43
10 Sheffield Weds 29 12 6 11 +7 42
11 Cardiff 29 10 12 7 -1 42
12 Brentford 27 12 5 10 +20 41
13 Derby 30 10 10 10 -4 40
14 Hull 30 11 6 13 -1 39
15 Reading 30 10 8 12 +2 38
16 QPR 29 11 5 13 -6 38
17 Middlesbrough 29 8 11 10 -7 35
18 Birmingham 29 9 7 13 -11 34
19 Huddersfield 29 8 8 13 -12 32
20 Stoke 30 9 4 17 -10 31
21 Charlton 29 7 9 13 -4 30
22 Wigan 29 6 8 15 -17 26
23 Barnsley 29 5 9 15 -19 24
24 Luton 29 7 3 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Millwall
18′
🟨 Shaun Williams
Adam Reach 🟨
23′
Barry Bannan 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Jed Wallace
Dominic Iorfa 🟨
53′
F. Forestieri 🔁
↦ K. Harris
56′
61′
🔁 J. Böðvarsson
↦ M. Smith
61′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ S. Ferguson
63′
🟨 Jake Cooper
A. da Cruz 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
67′
79′
🔁 J. Molumby
↦ T. Bradshaw
Moses Odubajo 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
25 C. Dawson G
13 J. Börner D
22 M. Odubajo D
20 A. Reach F
27 D. Iorfa D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
7 K. Harris M
8 J. Pelupessy M
14 J. Murphy M
17 A. Nuhiu F
Bench (7)
45 F. Forestieri
38 A. da Cruz
29 A. Hunt
11 S. Winnall
44 O. Urhoghide
15 T. Lees
28 J. Wildsmith

Coach: G. Monk

Millwall

4-4-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
11 S. Ferguson M
7 J. Wallace M
19 R. Woods M
9 T. Bradshaw F
10 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
23 J. Böðvarsson
21 C. Mahoney
16 J. Molumby
14 L. Steele
26 J. Skalák
15 A. Pearce
22 A. O'Brien

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,05
B
3,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.