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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Mateusz Piszczelok
Zaglebie
S T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,89 xG 1,26
58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 11. · Slask Wroclaw 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 4 3 1 0 +8 +3.9 10
2 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.3 7
3 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.8 6
4 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.6 6
5 Wisla 3 2 0 1 +1 +3.4 6
6 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +0 -0.8 6
7 Widzew Lodz 3 1 2 0 +2 +1.3 5
8 Wisla Plock 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
9 Slask Wroclaw 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.4 4
10 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
11 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
12 Piast Gliwice 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.7 3
13 Radomiak Radom 4 1 0 3 -8 -2.4 3
14 Cracovia 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
15 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
16 Motor Lublin 3 0 1 2 -3 -1.3 1
17 Rakow 2 0 0 2 -2 +2.1 0
18 Wieczysta Krakow 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
10′
🟨 Marc Llinares
22′
🟨 Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
34′
P. Samiec-Talar 0–1
P. M. Dembele
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Corluka
52′
J. Sypek 🔁
↦ I. Orlikowski
69′
M. Mlinaric 🔁
↦ S. Kerk
69′
L. Szabo 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
69′
74′
🔁 M. Rosiak
↦ A. Timossi
74′
🔁 L. Marjanac
↦ P. M. Dembele
2–1 L. Szabo
J. Corluka
85′
Levente Szabó 🟨
86′
Marcel Regula 🟨
87′
J. Kolan 🔁
↦ M. Regula
89′
89′
🔁 A. Ciucka
↦ J. Yriarte
95′
🔁 M. Stangret
↦ P. Banaszak
D. Michalski 🔁
↦ D. Dabrowski
102′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zaglebie

3-5-2
33 Z. Alomerovic G
31 I. Orlikowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
5 A. Lawniczak D
13 M. Grzybek M
8 D. Dabrowski M
39 F. Kocaba M
37 S. Kerk M
16 J. Corluka M
44 M. Regula F
18 F. Szymczak F
Bench (12)
1 J. Buric
26 J. Kolan
4 D. Michalski
38 S. Karasinski
94 M. Urbanski
7 J. Sypek
88 M. Mlinaric
20 M. Dziewiatowski
71 K. Nowogonski
19 S. Lyczko
17 L. Szabo
9 M. Kosidis

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Slask Wroclaw

5-3-2
1 K. Niemczycki G
21 A. Timossi D
33 Y. Matsenko D
44 M. Malec D
3 I. Christodoulou D
8 M. Llinares D
7 P. Samiec-Talar M
15 J. Yriarte M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
19 P. Banaszak F
10 P. M. Dembele F
Bench (10)
25 M. Szromnik
31 H. Sliczniak
2 D. Szala
26 A. Zulewski
4 M. Dijakovic
27 M. Rosiak
38 D. Markowski
11 L. Marjanac
23 M. Stangret
88 A. Ciucka

Coach: Ante Simundza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.