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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Zaglebie
T U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
39%
61%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,39 xG 1,20
70% Possession 30%
22 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 8. · Slask Wroclaw 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 18 11 5 2 +15 +2.4 38
2 Jagiellonia 18 11 4 3 +18 +6.1 37
3 Lech Poznan 18 9 5 4 +7 -2.0 32
4 Rakow 17 8 5 4 +12 +8.3 29
5 Legia 17 8 5 4 +6 +5.2 29
6 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 3 7 +10 +10.1 27
7 Gornik Zabrze 19 7 5 7 +1 -1.8 26
8 Zaglebie 18 7 4 7 -8 +3.1 25
9 Radomiak Radom 18 6 5 7 +1 +2.3 23
10 Stal Mielec 17 6 4 7 -1 -7.8 22
11 Widzew Lodz 18 6 4 8 -4 -2.4 22
12 Piast Gliwice 17 3 12 2 +1 +10.4 21
13 Warta Poznan 19 4 7 8 -6 -4.0 19
14 Puszcza 17 5 4 8 -10 -10.6 19
15 Korona Kielce 17 3 9 5 -1 -1.3 18
16 Cracovia 17 3 9 5 -6 -2.1 18
17 Ruch Chorzow 18 1 9 8 -12 -7.5 12
18 LKS Lodz 17 2 3 12 -23 -8.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Rzuchowski
↦ M. Żukowski
46′
🔁 A. Paluszek
↦ Y. Matsenko
46′
M. Rzuchowski 0–1
B. Kłudka 🔁
↦ Luís Mata
68′
T. Pieńko 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
68′
Juan Muñoz 🔁
↦ D. Kurminowski
68′
73′
🔁 D. Łukasik
↦ B. İnce
75′
Erik Expósito 0–2
1–2 Juan Muñoz
S. Buletsa
84′
T. Makowski 🔁
↦ M. Poletanović
85′
92′
🔁 P. Szwedzik
↦ P. Schwarz
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
1 J. Burić G
13 M. Grzybek D
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
55 Luís Mata D
20 M. Poletanović M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
7 K. Chodyna M
16 S. Buletsa M
77 M. Wdowiak M
90 D. Kurminowski F
Bench (9)
27 B. Kłudka
21 T. Pieńko
18 Juan Muñoz
6 T. Makowski
22 S. Weirauch
39 D. Bohar
11 A. Woźniak
25 M. Nalepa
17 M. Mróz

Coach: W. Fornalik

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
27 M. Konczkowski D
4 Ł. Bejger D
5 A. Petkov D
19 P. Janasik D
33 Y. Matsenko
24 P. Samiec-Talar M
17 P. Schwarz M
26 B. İnce M
22 M. Żukowski M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
28 M. Rzuchowski
2 A. Paluszek
23 D. Łukasik
21 P. Szwedzik
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
25 M. Żyłła
31 J. Lutostański
35 K. Trelowski
7 K. Zohorè

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.