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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Karol Arys
Legia
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Zaglebie
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,70 xG 1,03
62% Possession 38%
22 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 7. · Zaglebie 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.8 6
2 Wisla Plock 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.8 4
3 Lech Poznan 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.5 4
4 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.4 3
5 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
6 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.9 3
7 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.9 3
8 Wisla 2 1 0 1 +0 +3.1 3
9 Piast Gliwice 2 1 0 1 -1 -2.0 3
10 Widzew Lodz 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.4 2
11 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
12 Motor Lublin 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.0 1
13 Rakow 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.6 0
14 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.6 0
15 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.9 0
16 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
17 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.9 0
18 Wieczysta Krakow 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Zaglebie
4′
F. Kocaba 0–1
1–1 L. Zjawinski
P. Wszolek
25′
Mileta Rajović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Dabrowski
↦ J. Kolan
46′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ L. Szabo
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ W. Urbanski
58′
R. Adamski 🔁
↦ M. Rajovic
69′
J. Zewlakow 🔁
↦ D. Szymanski
69′
2–1 R. Vinagre
72′
73′
🔁 K. Nowogonski
↦ S. Kerk
A. Reca 🔁
↦ R. Deziel
81′
H. Arreiol 🔁
↦ L. Zjawinski
81′
83′
🔁 M. Dziewiatowski
↦ F. Kocaba
83′
🔁 S. Lyczko
↦ M. Regula
3–1 R. Adamski
V. Bichakhchyan
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-1-4-2
89 O. Hindrich G
91 K. Piatkowski D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 R. Deziel D
4 D. Szymanski M
22 P. Wszolek M
53 W. Urbanski M
67 B. Kapustka M
19 R. Vinagre M
29 M. Rajovic F
79 L. Zjawinski F
Bench (10)
59 J. Bienduga
13 A. Reca
23 M. Sevcik
9 R. Adamski
6 H. Arreiol
99 S. Kovacik
20 J. Zewlakow
24 Z. Arsenic
11 K. Chodyna
21 V. Bichakhchyan

Coach: Marek Papszun

Zaglebie

5-4-1
1 J. Buric G
16 J. Corluka D
5 A. Lawniczak D
25 M. Nalepa D
4 D. Michalski D
6 D. Colina D
44 M. Regula M
26 J. Kolan M
39 F. Kocaba M
37 S. Kerk M
17 L. Szabo F
Bench (12)
95 F. Nowak
8 D. Dabrowski
88 M. Mlinaric
31 I. Orlikowski
20 M. Dziewiatowski
71 K. Nowogonski
11 A. Wozniak
9 M. Kosidis
18 F. Szymczak
38 S. Karasinski
19 S. Lyczko
94 M. Urbanski

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Karol Arys · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.