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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
Motor Lublin
U T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
54%
23%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,36 xG 0,79
64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 15. · Wisla Plock 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 15 9 2 4 +12 -2.0 29
2 Wisla Plock 13 7 4 2 +9 +7.3 25
3 Jagiellonia 13 7 3 3 +8 +0.6 24
4 Radomiak Radom 15 6 4 5 +4 +1.2 22
5 Cracovia 14 6 4 4 +4 +3.5 22
6 Zaglebie 14 5 6 3 +9 -1.2 21
7 Lech Poznan 13 5 6 2 +2 +6.9 21
8 Korona Kielce 14 5 5 4 +4 -0.7 20
9 Rakow 13 6 2 5 -1 +0.8 20
10 Lechia Gdansk 15 5 3 7 -7 -3.1 18
11 Legia 13 4 5 4 +2 +2.6 17
12 Widzew Lodz 15 5 2 8 -1 +2.9 17
13 GKS Katowice 14 5 2 7 -4 -6.9 17
14 Pogon Szczecin 14 5 2 7 -5 +4.5 17
15 Motor Lublin 13 3 6 4 -5 -2.5 15
16 Arka Gdynia 14 4 3 7 -15 -6.0 15
17 Nieciecza 14 2 4 8 -11 -1.8 10
18 Piast Gliwice 12 1 5 6 -5 -6.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Wisla Plock
-5′
🟨 Fabian Hiszpański
1–0 Fabio Ronaldo
4′
Karol Czubak ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
17′
Paweł Stolarski 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Łukasz Sekulski
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Mijuskovic
↦ T. Tavares
46′
🔁 W. Nowak
↦ D. Juric
46′
🔁 I. Salvador
↦ D. Pacheco
51′
🟨 Andrias Edmundsson
Arkadiusz Najemski 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 G. Niarchos
↦ L. Sekulski
H. Matthys 🔁
↦ A. Najemski
66′
B. van Hoeven 🔁
↦ Fabio Ronaldo
66′
Marek Kristián Bartoš 🟨
67′
73′
🔁 K. Custovic
↦ Z. Rogelj
J. Labojko 🔁
↦ S. Samper
74′
77′
A. Edmundsson 1–1
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Scalet 🔁
↦ B. Wolski
82′
F. Haxha 🔁
↦ M. Krol
82′
86′
🟨 Iban Salvador
89′
🟨 Nemanja Mijušković
92′
🟨 Rafał Leszczyński
Mathieu Scalet ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-3-3
1 I. Brkic G
28 P. Stolarski D
39 M. Bartos D
18 A. Najemski D
24 F. Luberecki D
68 B. Wolski M
6 S. Samper M
7 I. Rodrigues M
26 M. Krol F
9 K. Czubak F
11 Fabio Ronaldo F
Bench (12)
33 G. Tratnik
2 P. Meyer
3 H. Matthys
8 M. Scalet
10 K. Karasek
16 F. Lewandowski
19 B. van Hoeven
21 J. Labojko
23 F. Haxha
42 B. Ede
47 K. Palacz
77 R. Dadashov

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Wisla Plock

3-5-2
12 R. Leszczynski G
4 M. Haglind-Sangre D
35 M. Kaminski D
19 A. Edmundsson D
21 Z. Rogelj M
14 D. Kun M
84 T. Tavares M
8 D. Pacheco M
13 Q. Lecoeuche M
20 L. Sekulski F
99 D. Juric F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pruszkowski
2 K. Custovic
3 A. Kalandadze
5 B. Nastic
6 K. Pomorski
9 G. Niarchos
16 F. Hiszpanski
17 M. Djalo
25 N. Mijuskovic
30 W. Nowak
37 O. Tomczyk
66 I. Salvador

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.