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Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

T S S T U

0–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

28%

41%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

31%

55%

Both score Ø 47%

31%

62%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Korona Kielce 14. · Lech Poznan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	29	19	3	7	+35	60
2	Piast Gliwice	29	15	5	9	+8	50
3	Lech Poznan	29	12	10	7	+23	46
4	Slask Wroclaw	29	12	10	7	+5	46
5	Cracovia	29	14	3	12	+10	45
6	Jagiellonia	29	12	8	9	+4	44
7	Pogon Szczecin	29	12	8	9	-2	44
8	Lechia Gdansk	29	11	9	9	-2	42
9	Zaglebie	29	10	8	11	+4	38
10	Gornik Zabrze	29	9	11	9	-1	38
11	Rakow	29	11	5	13	-6	38
12	Wisla Plock	29	10	7	12	-13	37
13	Wisla	29	10	4	15	-10	34
14	Korona Kielce	29	8	6	15	-13	30
15	Arka Gdynia	29	7	7	15	-19	28
16	LKS Lodz	29	5	6	18	-23	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	15	11	1	3	+29	34
2	Piast Gliwice	15	10	3	2	+12	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	14	8	5	1	+13	29
4	Cracovia	14	9	1	4	+11	28
5	Lech Poznan	15	8	3	4	+20	27
6	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	6	1	+5	27
7	Jagiellonia	14	7	4	3	+9	25
8	Zaglebie	15	6	6	3	+9	24
9	Rakow	14	7	3	4	+4	24
10	Wisla	15	7	2	6	+7	23
11	Lechia Gdansk	15	6	4	5	+0	22
12	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	3	5	+1	21
13	Wisla Plock	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Arka Gdynia	14	4	6	4	-2	18
15	Korona Kielce	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	LKS Lodz	15	4	3	8	-6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	6	5	4	-3	23
3	Lechia Gdansk	14	5	5	4	-2	20
4	Lech Poznan	14	4	7	3	+3	19
5	Slask Wroclaw	15	5	4	6	+0	19
6	Jagiellonia	15	5	4	6	-5	19
7	Cracovia	15	5	2	8	-1	17
8	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-4	17
9	Wisla Plock	14	4	4	6	-12	16
10	Zaglebie	14	4	2	8	-5	14
11	Rakow	15	4	2	9	-10	14
12	Korona Kielce	15	3	4	8	-12	13
13	Wisla	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Arka Gdynia	15	3	1	11	-17	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	LKS Lodz	14	1	3	10	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.