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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Korona Kielce

S U T S T

0–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

31%

47%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%

13 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 14. · Lech Poznan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	32	22	5	5	+38	71
2	Legia	32	18	9	5	+19	63
3	Pogon Szczecin	32	16	9	7	+8	57
4	Lech Poznan	32	15	10	7	+17	55
5	Piast Gliwice	32	14	7	11	+6	49
6	Warta Poznan	32	12	8	12	+3	44
7	Gornik Zabrze	32	12	8	12	+1	44
8	Zaglebie	33	12	8	13	-9	44
9	Cracovia	32	11	9	12	+3	42
10	Widzew Lodz	32	11	8	13	-4	41
11	Radomiak Radom	32	11	8	13	-5	41
12	Jagiellonia	32	9	13	10	+1	40
13	Stal Mielec	33	10	10	13	-5	40
14	Korona Kielce	32	10	8	14	-9	38
15	Wisla Plock	32	10	7	15	-5	37
16	Slask Wroclaw	32	8	11	13	-13	35
17	Lechia Gdansk	32	7	6	19	-26	27
18	Legnica	32	4	10	18	-20	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	14	1	1	+31	43
2	Legia	16	11	5	0	+19	38
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	4	3	+6	31
4	Wisla Plock	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Korona Kielce	16	8	3	5	+3	27
7	Cracovia	16	7	5	4	+10	26
8	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Stal Mielec	16	5	7	4	+3	22
10	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Warta Poznan	16	5	6	5	+3	21
12	Slask Wroclaw	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	5	6	-1	20
14	Widzew Lodz	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Zaglebie	17	4	5	8	-7	17
16	Radomiak Radom	16	4	4	8	-5	16
17	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	4	8	-8	16
18	Legnica	16	3	6	7	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	7	8	1	+9	29
2	Rakow	16	8	4	4	+7	28
3	Piast Gliwice	16	8	3	5	+4	27
4	Zaglebie	16	8	3	5	-2	27
5	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
6	Legia	16	7	4	5	+0	25
7	Radomiak Radom	16	7	4	5	+0	25
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
10	Widzew Lodz	16	6	5	5	-1	23
11	Stal Mielec	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Cracovia	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	16	1	10	5	-7	13
15	Korona Kielce	16	2	5	9	-12	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Wisla Plock	16	2	3	11	-13	9
18	Legnica	16	1	4	11	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.