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Conference League
Referee: N Minaković
AZ Alkmaar
S T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Legia
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
40%
86%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,6
4,7
Scored
2,0
2,6
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 0,45
41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Legia
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. Pavlidis ⚽
D. de Wit
52′
62′
🔁 E. Muçi
↦ Marc Gual
Mayckel Lahdo 🟥
65′
71′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ P. Kun
72′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ T. Pekhart
72′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ J. Elitim
73′
🟨 Yuri Ribeiro
D. Kasius 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
74′
B. Martins Indi 🔁
↦ D. Møller Wolfe
82′
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
82′
Mathew Ryan 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
33 W. Goes D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
16 S. Mijnans M
8 J. Clasie M
23 M. Lahdo M
10 D. de Wit M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
30 D. Kasius
4 B. Martins Indi
11 I. Sadiq
15 R. van Bommel
14 D. Mihailović
12 H. Verhulst
22 M. Dekker
20 R. Owusu-Oduro
6 Tiago Dantas
7 J. Odgaard
21 E. Poku
28 K. Goudmijn

Coach: P. Jansen

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
22 J. Elitim M
33 P. Kun M
27 Josué F
7 T. Pekhart F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (12)
20 E. Muçi
17 Gil Dias
9 B. Kramer
39 M. Rosołek
3 S. Kapuadi
21 J. Çelhaka
30 D. Hładun
18 P. Sokołowski
8 R. Augustyniak
23 G. Kobylak
32 M. Baku
4 M. Burch

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Minaković · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.