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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Stal Mielec

S U S T S

2–3

Full-time

Korona Kielce

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 23%

33%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

44%

25%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,9

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,43 xG 0,78

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 7. · Korona Kielce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	8	6	2	0	+11	+0.7	20
2	Slask Wroclaw	9	6	1	2	+7	+1.1	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.8	17
4	Rakow	8	5	1	2	+6	+5.0	16
5	Jagiellonia	8	5	1	2	+5	+3.8	16
6	Zaglebie	9	5	1	3	+0	+1.0	16
7	Stal Mielec	9	3	3	3	+2	-5.0	12
8	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	0	5	+1	+4.2	12
9	Radomiak Radom	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.5	11
10	Widzew Lodz	9	3	2	4	-2	-2.3	11
11	Cracovia	8	2	4	2	-4	+0.2	10
12	Warta Poznan	9	2	3	4	-1	+0.9	9
13	Piast Gliwice	9	1	6	2	-1	+7.8	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	9	2	3	4	-6	-7.1	9
15	Puszcza	9	2	2	5	-7	-7.4	8
16	LKS Lodz	9	2	1	6	-8	–	7
17	Korona Kielce	8	1	3	4	-3	-1.8	6
18	Ruch Chorzow	9	1	3	5	-6	-2.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	5	5	0	0	+10	+2.7	15
2	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+8	+4.4	13
3	Zaglebie	5	4	1	0	+4	+1.5	13
4	Jagiellonia	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.7	12
5	Stal Mielec	5	3	2	0	+6	-1.4	11
6	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+6	+3.2	10
7	Slask Wroclaw	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.6	9
8	Widzew Lodz	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.2	9
9	LKS Lodz	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
10	Puszcza	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.4	7
11	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	0	3	-2	+5.8	6
12	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.1	5
13	Radomiak Radom	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.1	5
14	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+5.8	5
15	Warta Poznan	5	1	2	2	-1	+0.7	5
16	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.5	5
17	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	-3	-0.6	5
18	Ruch Chorzow	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.5	10
2	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+3	-1.6	6
4	Radomiak Radom	5	2	0	3	-1	+0.4	6
5	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.9	5
6	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.8	5
7	Warta Poznan	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.1	4
8	Piast Gliwice	5	0	4	1	-1	+1.9	4
9	Jagiellonia	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.9	4
10	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.6	4
11	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.6	3
12	Zaglebie	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.6	3
13	Widzew Lodz	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.5	2
14	Ruch Chorzow	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.5	2
15	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.9	1
16	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1
17	Puszcza	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.1	1
18	LKS Lodz	5	0	0	5	-8	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.