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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Rakow

T S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Puszcza

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,06 xG 0,80

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 11. · Puszcza 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	5	4	1	0	+9	+2.0	13
2	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	1	2	+4	-2.3	13
3	Zaglebie	7	4	1	2	+1	+0.8	13
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	+4	+2.8	12
5	Cracovia	6	2	4	0	+2	-0.5	10
6	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	-0.6	10
7	Warta Poznan	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
8	Stal Mielec	7	2	3	2	+1	-2.6	9
9	Lech Poznan	5	2	2	1	+1	-2.1	8
10	Piast Gliwice	7	1	5	1	+0	+7.6	8
11	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.2	7
12	Puszcza	6	2	1	3	-3	-2.7	7
13	Widzew Lodz	7	2	1	4	-4	-1.4	7
14	Ruch Chorzow	7	1	3	3	-3	-1.7	6
15	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	0	4	-4	+2.3	6
16	Gornik Zabrze	7	1	3	3	-6	-6.4	6
17	LKS Lodz	7	2	0	5	-7	–	6
18	Korona Kielce	6	1	2	3	-1	+0.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	4	0	0	+9	+2.0	12
2	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.5	10
3	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+7	+4.7	9
4	Stal Mielec	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.2	8
5	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.2	7
6	Puszcza	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
8	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.5	6
9	LKS Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
10	Warta Poznan	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.4	5
11	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.0	5
12	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
13	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
14	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
15	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.9	4
16	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.7	4
17	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	0	2	-3	+3.6	3
18	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.0	7
2	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
3	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
4	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
5	Piast Gliwice	4	0	4	0	+0	+3.9	4
6	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.0	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.8	4
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.2	3
9	Zaglebie	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
10	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.9	3
11	Ruch Chorzow	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.5	2
12	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.4	1
14	Stal Mielec	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.4	1
15	Widzew Lodz	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.9	1
16	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Puszcza	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	LKS Lodz	4	0	0	4	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.