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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
For Sittard
T U U S U
0–0
Full-time
Ajax
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,41 xG 0,37
34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 10. · Ajax 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 +2.0 9
2 Feyenoord 4 2 2 0 +9 +8.2 8
3 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.1 8
4 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +6 +2.1 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.0 6
6 Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 +1 -3.2 6
7 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.4 6
8 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.8 6
9 Zwolle 4 2 0 2 -1 +0.7 6
10 For Sittard 3 1 2 0 +1 -0.2 5
11 Excelsior 4 1 2 1 -1 -1.6 5
12 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +3 +4.3 4
13 Nijmegen 4 1 1 2 +1 -1.1 4
14 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.4 3
15 Volendam 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.2 0
16 Utrecht 4 0 0 4 -9 -4.9 0
17 Almere City 4 0 0 4 -10 -4.6 0
18 Waalwijk 4 0 0 4 -11 -0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Ajax
36′
🟨 Gastón Ávila
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Brian Brobbey
62′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ B. Brobbey
62′
🔁 A. Gaaei
↦ D. Rensch
K. Sierhuis 🔁
↦ M. Belkheir
64′
Mitchell Dijks 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 K. Taylor
↦ B. Tahirović
72′
🔁 M. Godts
↦ Carlos Forbs
R. Vita 🔁
↦ M. Dijks
73′
R. Oratmangoen 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
88′
I. Griffith 🔁
↦ T. Noslin
88′
O. Özyakup 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
88′
Rosier Loreintz 🟨
90′
Ragnar Oratmangoen 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
35 M. Dijks D
6 Deroy Duarte M
32 L. Rosier M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 A. Halilović M
77 T. Noslin M
20 M. Belkheir F
Bench (11)
9 K. Sierhuis
61 R. Vita
34 R. Oratmangoen
17 I. Griffith
15 O. Özyakup
24 N. Markelo
19 A. Ferati
22 T. Hendriks
1 L. Koopmans
39 M. Robberechts
3 S. Fofana

Coach: D. Buijs

Ajax

4-2-3-1
12 J. Gorter G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
4 J. Hato D
30 G. Ávila D
21 B. van den Boomen M
33 B. Tahirović M
38 K. Hlynsson M
19 G. Mikautadze M
11 Carlos Forbs M
9 B. Brobbey F
Bench (10)
10 C. Akpom
3 A. Gaaei
8 K. Taylor
39 M. Godts
24 S. Vos
18 J. Medić
43 O. Aertssen
40 D. Ramaj
51 C. Setford
17 A. Salah-Eddine

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,89
U ✓
5,25
B
1,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.