La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Barcelona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +3.7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | +0.8 | 10 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +9 | +4.0 | 7 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +4.5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | +2.4 | 7 |
| 6 |
Cadiz
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | +1.2 | 7 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +0 | -2.3 | 7 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | +1.1 | 6 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.8 | 6 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | -0.2 | 6 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | +1.3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.9 | 6 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.1 | 4 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -2.5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.5 | 3 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -5.2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 | 2 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 | 2 |
| 19 |
Almeria
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -1.2 | 1 |
| 20 |
Sevilla
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Aitor Fernández
G
Jesús Areso
D
Alejandro Catena
D
Jorge Herrando
D
Juan Cruz
D
Iker Munoz
M
Rubén García
M
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
M
Aimar Oroz
M
José Manuel Arnáiz
M
Raúl García
F
Coach: Arrasate
Marc-André ter Stegen
G
Jules Koundé
D
Andreas Christensen
D
Alejandro Baldé
D
İlkay Gündoğan
M
Lamine Yamal
F
Gavi
F
Coach: Xavi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Club Brugge
Osasuna
Valencia
Osasuna
Osasuna
Club Brugge
Osasuna
Ath Bilbao
Celta
Osasuna
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias · 33 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.