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2. Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Osnabruck
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Elversberg
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 17. · Elversberg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
2 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
4 Hamburg 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Hansa Rostock 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Kaiserslautern 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Wehen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Greuther Furth 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Osnabruck 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Elversberg 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osnabruck Elversberg
41′
🟨 Carlo Sickinger
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Pinckert
↦ M. Feil
J. Verhoek 🔁
↦ K. Okyere Wriedt
57′
68′
🔁 W. Faghir
↦ L. Schnellbacher
68′
🔁 P. Wanner
↦ P. Stock
68′
🔁 N. Antonitsch
↦ C. Sickinger
N. Niemann 🔁
↦ C. Makridis
71′
C. Conteh 🔁
↦ E. Engelhardt
71′
79′
W. Faghir 0–1
L. Pinckert
82′
🟨 Nico Antonitsch
F. Bähr 🔁
↦ F. Kleinhansl
85′
J. Wulff 🔁
↦ L. Kunze
85′
Florian Bähr 🟨
88′
92′
🔁 A. Sicker
↦ J. Rochelt
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,77
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.