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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Spezia

T T U U T

0–1

Full-time

Como

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

9 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 15. · Como 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Modena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Catanzaro	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Ascoli	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Reggiana	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Catanzaro	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Ascoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.