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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
Besiktas
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,57 xG 0,20
66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 12. · Sivasspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Konyaspor 4 2 2 0 +3 +1.4 8
2 Galatasaray 3 2 1 0 +5 +4.1 7
3 Rizespor 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.4 7
4 Fenerbahce 2 2 0 0 +3 +5.0 6
5 Trabzonspor 4 2 0 2 +2 -1.7 6
6 Alanyaspor 4 1 3 0 +2 +1.6 6
7 Kayserispor 4 1 3 0 +1 -1.5 6
8 Hatayspor 3 1 2 0 +4 +0.7 5
9 Sivasspor 3 1 2 0 +2 +0.4 5
10 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 -3 +0.8 5
11 Ad. Demirspor 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.2 4
12 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.9 4
13 Karagumruk 4 1 1 2 +0 -3.2 4
14 Antalyaspor 4 0 3 1 -1 +0.3 3
15 Pendikspor 4 0 3 1 -4 -2.8 3
16 İstanbulspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.5 2
17 Ankaragücü 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.0 2
18 Samsunspor 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.8 1
19 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -5 -0.2 0
20 Gaziantep 4 0 0 4 -8 -6.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,66
B
6,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.