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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Utrecht

T S T T T

1–5

Full-time

Feyenoord

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,0

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,55 xG 4,11

45% Possession 55%

5 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 16. · Feyenoord 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.0	9
2	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.1	8
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
4	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
5	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+1	-3.2	6
6	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
7	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.8	6
8	Zwolle	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.7	6
9	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+5	+4.6	5
10	For Sittard	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
11	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.6	5
12	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
13	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.1	4
14	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
15	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-5	-1.4	0
17	Almere City	4	0	0	4	-10	-4.6	0
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.9	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+5	+3.4	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
6	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.4	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
9	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
10	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.6	3
12	Excelsior	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.0	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.1	6
2	Sparta Rotterdam	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.1	6
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.5	3
6	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
8	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	For Sittard	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
10	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
13	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
15	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.