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Ekstraklasa

Nieciecza

T S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Warta Poznan

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 20%

18%

22%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

59%

26%

Both score Ø 56%

68%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nieciecza 18. · Warta Poznan 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	24	14	7	3	+24	49
2	Lech Poznan	23	14	6	3	+31	48
3	Rakow	23	13	6	4	+19	45
4	Lechia Gdansk	23	11	6	6	+9	39
5	Radomiak Radom	24	10	9	5	+7	39
6	Gornik Zabrze	23	9	6	8	+1	33
7	Stal Mielec	24	8	8	8	-3	32
8	Cracovia	23	8	7	8	+0	31
9	Piast Gliwice	23	8	6	9	+2	30
10	Wisla Plock	23	9	3	11	-3	30
11	Jagiellonia	24	7	9	8	-7	30
12	Slask Wroclaw	23	6	8	9	-4	26
13	Warta Poznan	23	5	9	9	-7	24
14	Leczna	23	5	9	9	-15	24
15	Zaglebie	23	7	3	13	-17	24
16	Legia	22	7	1	14	-9	22
17	Wisla	23	6	4	13	-13	22
18	Nieciecza	22	4	7	11	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	9	2	0	+25	29
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	9	2	1	+19	29
3	Lechia Gdansk	11	8	2	1	+12	26
4	Wisla Plock	11	8	2	1	+12	26
5	Rakow	11	7	3	1	+17	24
6	Radomiak Radom	12	6	5	1	+8	23
7	Stal Mielec	13	6	3	4	+1	21
8	Jagiellonia	12	4	6	2	+4	18
9	Cracovia	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	3	4	+2	18
11	Zaglebie	11	5	1	5	+0	16
12	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Legia	11	5	0	6	-1	15
14	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-1	14
15	Wisla	11	4	2	5	-1	14
16	Leczna	12	3	5	4	-7	14
17	Nieciecza	11	3	4	4	-3	13
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	6	4	-4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+2	21
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	5	2	+5	20
3	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+6	19
4	Radomiak Radom	12	4	4	4	-1	16
5	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Cracovia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
8	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-3	12
10	Warta Poznan	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Jagiellonia	12	3	3	6	-11	12
12	Stal Mielec	11	2	5	4	-4	11
13	Leczna	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Wisla	12	2	2	8	-12	8
15	Zaglebie	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	Legia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
17	Nieciecza	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Wisla Plock	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.