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Ekstraklasa
Nieciecza
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
32%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
58%
Both score Ø 68%
72%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nieciecza 18. · Jagiellonia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 19 12 5 2 +24 41
2 Pogon Szczecin 19 10 7 2 +19 37
3 Rakow 19 10 5 4 +14 35
4 Radomiak Radom 19 9 8 2 +12 35
5 Lechia Gdansk 19 9 6 4 +10 33
6 Wisla Plock 19 9 2 8 +3 29
7 Gornik Zabrze 19 8 4 7 +1 28
8 Stal Mielec 19 7 7 5 +0 28
9 Cracovia 19 7 5 7 -1 26
10 Slask Wroclaw 19 6 6 7 +0 24
11 Jagiellonia 19 6 6 7 -7 24
12 Piast Gliwice 19 6 5 8 +0 23
13 Wisla 19 6 3 10 -9 21
14 Zaglebie 19 6 2 11 -16 20
15 Leczna 19 4 6 9 -17 18
16 Warta Poznan 19 3 7 9 -10 16
17 Legia 18 5 0 13 -11 15
18 Nieciecza 18 2 6 10 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.