Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Legia
Warta Poznan
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +29 | 45 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | +22 | 43 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +17 | 41 |
| 4 |
Radomiak Radom
|
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | +11 | 36 |
| 5 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +10 | 36 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Stal Mielec
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 31 |
| 8 |
Cracovia
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 30 |
| 9 |
Wisla Plock
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 30 |
| 10 |
Piast Gliwice
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | +0 | 26 |
| 11 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 |
Jagiellonia
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Leczna | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -17 | 20 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 |
Legia
|
19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 |
Warta Poznan
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 17 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Zaglebie
Legia
Legia
Radomiak Radom
Legia
Zaglebie
Wisla Plock
Legia
Cracovia
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.