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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Elfsborg

T S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Mjallby

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

47%

60%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

73%

Both score Ø 63%

53%

73%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,28 xG 0,60

35% Possession 65%

19 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 6. · Mjallby 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	16	12	2	2	+29	+14.6	38
2	Djurgarden	15	10	1	4	+15	+0.9	31
3	Mjallby	15	9	2	4	+9	+1.0	29
4	Hammarby	15	8	1	6	+7	+0.3	25
5	Hacken	16	7	3	6	+1	-3.3	24
6	Elfsborg	15	7	1	7	+6	+2.6	22
7	GAIS	14	7	1	6	-3	-2.5	22
8	AIK	14	6	2	6	-4	+1.1	20
9	Sirius	15	5	3	7	-1	+1.7	18
10	Varnamo	15	5	3	7	-3	-4.5	18
11	Brommapojkarna	15	4	6	5	-6	+1.9	18
12	Halmstad	15	6	0	9	-8	-3.4	18
13	Goteborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-3.0	17
14	Kalmar	15	5	1	9	-10	-5.3	16
15	Norrkoping	15	4	2	9	-19	-5.1	14
16	Vasteras SK	14	3	2	9	-6	+3.0	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	7	0	0	+19	+5.5	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+13	+2.4	16
4	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
5	GAIS	7	5	1	1	+4	+1.0	16
6	AIK	7	5	0	2	+9	+2.1	15
7	Hammarby	7	5	0	2	+8	+0.2	15
8	Hacken	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.7	13
9	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	+4	+1.0	12
10	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
11	Norrkoping	7	3	0	4	-7	-2.7	9
12	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.7	7
13	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
14	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
15	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-9	+0.0	6
16	Varnamo	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+10	+9.1	17
2	Djurgarden	7	5	0	2	+11	+3.1	15
3	Varnamo	7	4	1	2	+5	-2.8	13
4	Brommapojkarna	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.8	12
5	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
6	Hammarby	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.1	10
7	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.6	10
8	Mjallby	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.4	9
9	Kalmar	7	3	0	4	-6	-3.7	9
10	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-5	-0.0	7
11	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
12	GAIS	7	2	0	5	-7	-3.5	6
13	Halmstad	8	2	0	6	-12	-4.4	6
14	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
15	AIK	7	1	2	4	-13	-1.0	5
16	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-1	+1.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.