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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Almeria
S T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Santander
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 47%
44%
49%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
74%
59%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
5 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 6. · Santander 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
4 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
5 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
10 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
11 Albacete 40 14 12 14 -2 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 40 6 12 22 -38 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Santander
1–0 Sergio Arribas
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Juan Carlos Arana
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
46′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Unai Vencedor
2–0 Arnau Puigmal
L. Suárez
47′
Gui 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
55′
Álex Pozo 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
70′
71′
🔁 Víctor Meseguer
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
71′
🔁 J. Arévalo
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
79′
🔁 Saúl García
↦ Mario García
80′
🟨 Maguette Gueye
R. Fettal 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
85′
Silvi 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
85′
Gui 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (10)
27 Gui
17 Álex Pozo
28 R. Fettal
23 Silvi
38 Pedro Cedillo
1 Luís Maximiano
16 A. Radovanović
19 M. Milovanović
7 Lázaro
31 Bruno Iribarne

Coach: Rubi

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
15 Marco Sangalli D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Javi Castro D
40 Mario García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (12)
9 Juan Carlos Arana
12 M. Gueye
23 Víctor Meseguer
29 J. Arévalo
3 Saúl García
24 Javi Montero
16 Róber
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
20 S. Camara
18 Manu Hernando
1 Miquel Parera
7 L. Junior

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
4,01
B
3,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.