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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Oviedo
S U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
51%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 5. · Zaragoza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
4 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
5 Oviedo 39 18 12 9 +11 66
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
10 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
11 Albacete 40 14 12 14 -2 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
17 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
18 Zaragoza 39 12 12 15 -4 48
19 Eldense 39 11 10 18 -18 43
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 40 6 12 22 -38 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Zaragoza
20′
🔁 Bernardo Vital
↦ Lluís López
Alemão 🔁
↦ F. Viñas
30′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Kervin Arriaga
Santi Cazorla
penalty missed
61′
Álex Cardero 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
67′
Jaime Seoane 🔁
↦ Portillo
67′
Paulino de la Fuente 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
67′
69′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Mario Soberón
69′
🔁 Ager Aketxe
↦ Adrian Liso
75′
🔁 Enrique Clemente
↦ Dani Tasende
82′
🟨 Pau Sans
D. Paraschiv 🔁
↦ S. Colombatto
86′
1–0 Paulino de la Fuente
D. Paraschiv
91′
96′
🟨 Malcom Ares
97′
🟨 Toni Moya
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Aarón Escandell G
15 Oier Luengo D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 R. Alhassane D
23 H. Hassan M
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
10 Portillo M
8 Santi Cazorla F
19 F. Viñas F
Bench (12)
9 Alemão
27 Álex Cardero
20 Jaime Seoane
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 D. Paraschiv
21 Carlos Pomares
31 C. Eze
7 Sebas Moyano
1 Q. Braat
35 Omar Falah
30 Marco Esteban
17 César de la Hoz

Coach: V. Paunović

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 G. Poussin G
14 Francho Serrano D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
4 Dani Tasende D
20 Adu Ares M
16 K. Arriaga M
21 Toni Moya M
33 Adrian Liso M
29 Pau Sans F
7 Mario Soberón F
Bench (12)
15 Bernardo Vital
9 Dani Gómez
23 Ager Aketxe
5 Enrique Clemente
19 Iván Calero
34 Lucas Terrer
25 Joan Femenías
12 S. Kóša
17 Carlos Nieto
22 Alberto Marí
11 S. Baždar
40 Carlos Calavia

Coach: Gabi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,30
B
4,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.