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Svenska Cupen

Referee: M Al Hakim

Hammarby

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

AIK

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

3,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,8

This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

100%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,5

Scored

4,3

2,8

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,8

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 6. · AIK 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Malmo FF	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Djurgarden	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	Kalmar	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	Mjallby	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+15	12
7	GAIS	5	4	0	1	+5	12
8	AIK	4	3	1	0	+8	10
9	Norrkoping	5	3	1	1	+4	10
10	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+8	9
11	IK brage	4	3	0	1	+6	9
12	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
13	Trelleborg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
14	Degerfors	4	3	0	1	+4	9
15	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
16	Trollhättan	5	3	0	2	-2	9
17	Vasteras SK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
18	Helsingborg	4	2	0	2	+6	6
19	Dalkurd FF	4	2	0	2	+1	6
20	Skövde AIK	4	2	0	2	+1	6
21	Varberg	4	2	0	2	+0	6
22	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	IFK Luleå	5	2	0	3	-3	6
25	Oskarshamns AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	6
26	Onsala	5	2	0	3	-6	6
27	Utsikten	4	1	1	2	-2	4
28	Ostersunds FK	4	1	1	2	-3	4
29	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-7	4
30	Norrby IF	4	1	1	2	-7	4
31	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
32	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
33	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Brommapojkarna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
45	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
55	Jonkopings Sodra	4	1	0	3	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Kalmar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	AIK	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
12	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
29	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
30	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
31	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
32	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vasteras SK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
50	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Landskrona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Orebro SK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+10	7
4	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+8	6
7	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Ostersunds FK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-4	4
22	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Varberg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Oskarshamns AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
44	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-5	3
45	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.