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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Sonderjyske

S S U U T

5–1

Full-time

Lyngby

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 20%

27%

13%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

67%

30%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,65 xG 1,70

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 22

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

0 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 9. · Lyngby 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	30	16	9	5	+20	+11.6	57
2	Midtjylland	30	17	5	8	+20	+6.9	56
3	Silkeborg	31	13	10	8	+16	+6.8	49
4	Randers FC	30	13	9	8	+12	+7.1	48
5	Brondby	30	12	12	6	+12	+8.0	48
6	Nordsjaelland	31	13	7	11	+0	+7.2	46
7	Viborg	31	11	11	9	+6	-1.9	44
8	Aarhus	31	10	10	11	+8	+9.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	30	8	7	15	-22	-15.1	31
10	Vejle	31	7	7	17	-26	-13.6	28
11	Lyngby	30	4	12	14	-15	-5.5	24
12	Aalborg	31	5	9	17	-31	-21.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	16	10	5	1	+17	+7.4	35
3	FC Copenhagen	15	9	5	1	+13	+10.2	32
4	Viborg	16	9	3	4	+6	-1.6	30
5	Randers FC	15	8	4	3	+11	+7.3	28
6	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+10.9	27
7	Brondby	15	7	6	2	+7	+6.1	27
8	Silkeborg	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.3	26
9	Sonderjyske	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.3	17
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.2	14
12	Aalborg	16	3	4	9	-16	-10.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+1.4	25
2	Silkeborg	16	6	5	5	+8	+3.5	23
3	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
4	Randers FC	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.2	20
5	Midtjylland	15	4	5	6	+2	-0.6	17
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	15	4	2	9	-10	-3.8	14
8	Vejle	16	4	2	10	-14	-11.4	14
9	Aarhus	16	3	4	9	-6	-1.2	13
10	Aalborg	15	2	5	8	-15	-10.7	11
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
12	Lyngby	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.