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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Samsunspor

T T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Sivasspor

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 33/34 matches

Win Ø 39%

52%

26%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

52%

56%

Both score Ø 49%

39%

59%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

4 Shots 0

4 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Samsunspor 4. · Sivasspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	33	27	5	1	+53	+36.3	86
2	Fenerbahce	33	24	6	3	+51	+41.5	78
3	Besiktas	33	16	10	7	+20	+23.9	58
4	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	+12	+6.6	57
5	Buyuksehyr	33	15	6	12	+6	+2.7	51
6	Eyüpspor	34	14	8	12	+5	+0.0	50
7	Goztep	33	12	11	10	+13	+21.7	47
8	Trabzonspor	33	12	10	11	+11	-1.2	46
9	Kasimpasa	33	11	13	9	+1	+2.1	46
10	Konyaspor	34	13	7	14	-3	-1.4	46
11	Kayserispor	33	11	11	11	-8	-0.5	44
12	Antalyaspor	33	12	7	14	-22	-17.3	43
13	Gaziantep	33	12	6	15	-5	-13.5	42
14	Rizespor	33	12	4	17	-13	+5.6	40
15	Alanyaspor	33	10	8	15	-10	-2.2	38
16	Sivasspor	34	9	8	17	-13	-19.4	35
17	Bodrumspor	33	9	8	16	-13	-6.3	35
18	Hatayspor	34	5	8	21	-26	-32.4	23
19	Ad. Demirspor	34	2	4	28	-59	-46.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	3	0	+26	+25.9	42
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	2	2	+22	+19.5	38
3	Goztep	17	10	6	1	+22	+22.7	36
4	Besiktas	17	11	2	4	+13	+17.1	35
5	Trabzonspor	17	10	4	3	+18	+6.4	34
6	Gaziantep	17	10	3	4	+10	+0.1	33
7	Antalyaspor	16	10	3	3	+3	-2.1	33
8	Konyaspor	17	9	5	3	+8	+6.1	32
9	Buyuksehyr	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.0	31
10	Eyüpspor	17	9	3	5	+9	+3.9	30
11	Samsunspor	16	9	2	5	+9	+10.5	29
12	Kayserispor	17	8	4	5	+2	+5.2	28
13	Sivasspor	18	7	6	5	+7	-3.9	27
14	Alanyaspor	16	7	4	5	+3	+6.0	25
15	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	+2	+13.3	25
16	Kasimpasa	16	5	7	4	+0	+5.6	22
17	Bodrumspor	16	5	4	7	+0	-0.1	19
18	Hatayspor	17	3	5	9	-9	-11.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	1	2	14	-28	-15.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+27	+10.4	44
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	4	1	+29	+22.0	40
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Kasimpasa	17	6	6	5	+1	-3.5	24
5	Besiktas	16	5	8	3	+7	+6.8	23
6	Eyüpspor	17	5	5	7	-4	-3.9	20
7	Buyuksehyr	16	6	2	8	-6	-3.3	20
8	Kayserispor	16	3	7	6	-10	-5.7	16
9	Bodrumspor	17	4	4	9	-13	-6.2	16
10	Rizespor	17	5	0	12	-15	-7.7	15
11	Konyaspor	17	4	2	11	-11	-7.5	14
12	Alanyaspor	17	3	4	10	-13	-8.1	13
13	Trabzonspor	16	2	6	8	-7	-7.7	12
14	Goztep	16	2	5	9	-9	-1.1	11
15	Antalyaspor	17	2	4	11	-25	-15.2	10
16	Gaziantep	16	2	3	11	-15	-13.6	9
17	Hatayspor	17	2	3	12	-17	-20.8	9
18	Sivasspor	16	2	2	12	-20	-15.4	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	1	2	14	-31	-30.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.