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Allsvenskan

Referee: Fredrik Klitte

AIK

S S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

80%

60%

Points per game

2,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,07 xG 0,69

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 3. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	6	4	2	0	+10	+0.2	14
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
3	AIK	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.0	13
4	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.1	10
5	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.3	9
6	Goteborg	5	3	0	2	-2	+1.5	9
7	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+0	+1.3	8
8	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
9	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	-1	+1.6	7
10	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
11	GAIS	5	1	3	1	+1	-2.2	6
12	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.8	6
13	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
14	Oster	5	1	0	4	-2	+0.0	3
15	Halmstad	5	1	0	4	-10	-6.3	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	0	5	-5	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
4	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
5	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
7	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
8	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
9	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
10	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
11	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.5	3
12	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
13	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
14	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.0	3
15	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.2	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
4	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.1	6
5	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+1	–	4
6	Sirius	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
7	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
8	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
9	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
10	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
11	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
12	GAIS	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.5	2
13	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
14	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
15	Oster	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.6	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.