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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
Hammarby
S T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Norrkoping
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
71%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
0,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,66 xG 0,57
71% Possession 29%
22 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Norrkoping 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 7 5 2 0 +11 +0.2 17
2 AIK 7 5 2 0 +6 -0.1 17
3 Hammarby 7 5 1 1 +11 +4.2 16
4 Elfsborg 7 4 1 2 +3 +1.7 13
5 Malmo FF 7 3 2 2 +1 +3.3 11
6 Degerfors 7 3 1 3 +1 +1.8 10
7 Brommapojkarna 7 3 1 3 +0 +0.4 10
8 Hacken 8 3 1 4 -3 +1.0 10
9 Goteborg 7 3 1 3 -3 +1.2 10
10 Halmstad 8 3 1 4 -7 -6.1 10
11 Norrkoping 7 3 0 4 +0 -0.6 9
12 Sirius 8 2 3 3 -2 -4.3 9
13 GAIS 8 1 5 2 -1 -1.0 8
14 Djurgarden 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.1 8
15 Oster 7 1 0 6 -7 -2.7 3
16 Varnamo 8 0 1 7 -9 -1.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Norrkoping
Tesfaldet Tekie 🟨
11′
15′
I. Sigurgeirsson 0–1
Pavle Vagić 🟨
31′
1–1 M. Madjed
33′
Half-time 1–1
Shaquille Pinas 🟨
57′
A. Boudah 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
62′
67′
🟨 Yahya Kalley
72′
🔁 S. Jorgensen
↦ I. Sigurgeirsson
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
76′
78′
🔁 M. Baggesen
↦ Y. Kalley
78′
🔁 A. Fransson
↦ D. Karlsson
78′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ I. Lushaku
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
88′
J. Ortmark 🔁
↦ S. Tounekti
88′
88′
🔁 A. Eriksson
↦ M. Neffati
Abdelrahman Boudah 🟨
94′
95′
🟨 David Andersson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagic D
19 S. Pinas D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
26 M. Madjed M
20 N. Besara M
18 S. Tounekti M
7 P. Abraham F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
9 J. Erabi
13 J. Karlsson
15 A. Lahdo
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
23 A. Boudah
29 M. Kabore

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Norrkoping

4-4-2
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
19 M. Watson D
2 K. Peprah D
14 Y. Kalley D
10 D. Karlsson M
21 J. Ceesay M
11 I. Lushaku M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
9 A. Traustason F
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
3 M. Baggesen
4 A. Sogaard
7 A. Fransson
15 S. Jorgensen
20 A. Bronner
22 T. Prica
24 A. Eriksson
28 A. Andersson

Coach: Martin Falk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.