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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Varnamo
U T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Halmstad
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Halmstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,56 xG 1,22
70% Possession 30%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Halmstad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 5 5 0 0 +12 +5.6 15
2 AIK 5 3 2 0 +5 -1.0 11
3 Hacken 5 3 1 1 +2 -2.3 10
4 GAIS 5 3 0 2 -2 +0.2 9
5 Halmstad 5 3 0 2 -2 -4.2 9
6 Brommapojkarna 5 2 2 1 +5 +2.5 8
7 Djurgarden 5 2 1 2 +2 +1.4 7
8 Mjallby 5 2 1 2 +2 +1.0 7
9 Sirius 5 2 1 2 +1 +2.0 7
10 Norrkoping 5 2 1 2 -4 -3.2 7
11 Hammarby 5 2 0 3 +1 +1.0 6
12 Goteborg 5 1 1 3 -4 -0.8 4
13 Elfsborg 5 1 1 3 -5 +2.5 4
14 Varnamo 5 1 1 3 -6 -3.9 4
15 Vasteras SK 5 1 0 4 -3 +2.3 3
16 Kalmar 5 1 0 4 -4 -2.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varnamo Halmstad
4′
M. Olsson 0–1
Vinícius Nogueira
6′
N. Mohammed 0–2
Vinícius Nogueira
Frank Adjei 🟨
17′
44′
N. Mohammed 0–3
M. Olsson
Half-time 0–3
F. Winsth 🔁
↦ H. Näsström
46′
E. Hasić 🔁
↦ S. Kotto
64′
M. Bustos 🔁
↦ S. Thern
64′
68′
🔁 G. Eyjólfsson
↦ Viktor Granath
1–3 V. Bergh
73′
74′
🔁 B. Kurtulus
↦ M. Olsson
74′
🔁 T. Boakye
↦ Vinícius Nogueira
K. Bilalovic 🔁
↦ C. Johansson
81′
88′
🔁 A. Hall
↦ N. Mohammed
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Varnamo

4-3-3
39 V. Andersson G
7 C. Johansson D
5 V. Larsson D
23 S. Kotto D
3 V. Bergh D
6 H. Näsström M
11 Wenderson M
22 S. Thern M
28 F. Adjei F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
14 G. Engvall F
Bench (9)
20 F. Winsth
4 E. Hasić
19 M. Bustos
32 K. Bilalovic
9 J. Kalu
8 W. Kenndal
1 J. Rasheed
2 J. Rapp
16 A. Lohikangas

Coach: A. Mravac

Halmstad

5-3-2
1 T. Rönning G
17 P. Ofosu-Ayeh D
5 J. Baffoe D
3 G. Wallentin D
21 M. Olsson D
27 Vinícius Nogueira D
6 J. Allansson M
8 J. Svedberg M
11 Villiam Granath M
18 N. Mohammed F
9 Viktor Granath F
Bench (9)
13 G. Eyjólfsson
26 B. Kurtulus
2 T. Boakye
22 A. Hall
7 B. Ingason
15 G. Friberg
19 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
10 A. Ahlstrand
12 T. Erlandsson

Coach: M. Haglund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.