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Allsvenskan

Referee: Sundell

Degerfors

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Varnamo

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

5,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,56 xG 1,36

45% Possession 55%

6 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Degerfors 3. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.9	6
3	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+5	+4.1	3
4	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
7	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.2	3
8	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
10	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.4	3
11	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
12	Mjallby	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
13	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.3	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-6	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.4	3
2	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
4	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
7	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
8	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
9	Sirius	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
10	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
13	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-5	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+5	+4.1	3
2	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
3	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
4	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Mjallby	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
8	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
9	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
11	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
13	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.