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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Halmstad

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Varnamo

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Halmstad Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

60%

53%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,65 xG 0,51

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Halmstad 12. · Varnamo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	17	12	2	3	+28	+16.5	38
2	Djurgarden	15	10	1	4	+15	+0.9	31
3	Mjallby	16	9	2	5	+7	-0.6	29
4	Elfsborg	16	8	1	7	+8	+4.3	25
5	Hammarby	15	8	1	6	+7	+0.3	25
6	GAIS	15	8	1	6	-1	-2.3	25
7	Hacken	16	7	3	6	+1	-3.3	24
8	Sirius	16	6	3	7	+0	-0.2	21
9	Brommapojkarna	16	5	6	5	-5	+2.5	21
10	AIK	15	6	2	7	-6	+0.8	20
11	Varnamo	15	5	3	7	-3	-4.5	18
12	Halmstad	15	6	0	9	-8	-3.4	18
13	Goteborg	16	5	3	8	-8	-4.1	18
14	Norrkoping	16	5	2	9	-17	-3.7	17
15	Kalmar	16	5	1	10	-12	-6.6	16
16	Vasteras SK	15	3	3	9	-6	+3.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+7.4	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.0	19
4	GAIS	8	6	1	1	+6	+1.2	19
5	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
6	AIK	7	5	0	2	+9	+2.1	15
7	Hammarby	7	5	0	2	+8	+0.2	15
8	Hacken	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.7	13
9	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	+4	+1.0	12
10	Norrkoping	8	4	0	4	-5	-1.4	12
11	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
12	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-4.7	8
13	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.7	7
14	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
15	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-9	+0.0	6
16	Varnamo	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+10	+9.1	17
2	Djurgarden	7	5	0	2	+11	+3.1	15
3	Brommapojkarna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.5	15
4	Varnamo	7	4	1	2	+5	-2.8	13
5	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
6	Hammarby	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.1	10
7	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.6	10
8	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-4	-1.9	10
9	Mjallby	7	3	0	4	-1	-1.3	9
10	Kalmar	8	3	0	5	-8	-5.0	9
11	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
12	GAIS	7	2	0	5	-7	-3.5	6
13	Halmstad	8	2	0	6	-12	-4.4	6
14	Vasteras SK	7	1	2	4	-1	+1.5	5
15	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
16	AIK	8	1	2	5	-15	-1.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.