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Allsvenskan

Referee: Tess Olofsson

Degerfors

S T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Elfsborg

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,71 xG 3,03

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 5. · Elfsborg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.3	9
2	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+5	+0.2	8
3	Malmo FF	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.6	8
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
5	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+4	+3.4	6
6	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-0.1	6
7	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.2	4
8	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.7	4
9	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.1	4
10	Oster	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
11	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.3	3
12	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
13	Djurgarden	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
14	Hacken	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
15	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-5.4	3
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
3	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
4	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
5	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.3	4
6	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
7	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
9	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
10	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
11	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
12	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.5	3
13	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
15	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
2	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
3	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
4	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.2	3
5	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
9	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.1	3
10	GAIS	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
11	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
13	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
14	Oster	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
15	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.