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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Degerfors

U T T T S

0–3

Full-time

Sirius

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 24%

27%

21%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

73%

57%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

57%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

Conceded

2,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,57 xG 1,32

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 13. · Sirius 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	14	11	2	1	+24	+2.0	35
2	Malmo FF	14	11	1	2	+23	+0.6	34
3	Hacken	15	10	2	3	+22	–	32
4	Djurgarden	15	8	3	4	+5	–	27
5	Halmstad	15	7	3	5	-3	-0.5	24
6	Kalmar	14	6	4	4	+0	-2.0	22
7	Norrkoping	14	5	4	5	+2	+0.5	19
8	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	-0.6	19
9	Brommapojkarna	14	6	1	7	-3	–	19
10	Hammarby	15	5	4	6	-5	+0.1	19
11	Varnamo	15	5	1	9	-5	+0.1	16
12	Sirius	14	3	5	6	-7	-0.1	14
13	Degerfors	15	4	2	9	-21	–	14
14	AIK	14	2	4	8	-7	–	10
15	Goteborg	14	1	5	8	-6	-0.8	8
16	Varberg	14	1	5	8	-17	+0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+11	–	22
2	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
3	Hacken	7	6	0	1	+16	–	18
4	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+15	–	16
5	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+4	–	13
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	8	3	3	2	+1	-0.1	12
8	Degerfors	8	3	2	3	-1	–	11
9	Mjallby	7	2	3	2	+2	–	9
10	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-1	+0.5	8
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Brommapojkarna	7	2	1	4	-2	–	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	7	1	2	4	+2	-0.8	5
16	Varberg	7	0	3	4	-11	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.0	19
2	Malmo FF	6	5	0	1	+8	–	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Brommapojkarna	7	4	0	3	-1	–	12
5	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-4	-0.5	12
6	Norrkoping	7	3	2	2	+3	–	11
7	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
8	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
9	Kalmar	7	2	3	2	+0	–	9
10	Sirius	7	1	4	2	-5	–	7
11	Hammarby	9	1	3	5	-9	+0.1	6
12	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
13	Varberg	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.8	5
14	AIK	7	1	1	5	-4	–	4
15	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-8	–	3
16	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.