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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Malmo FF

S S T U T

4–0

Full-time

Djurgarden

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 67%

70%

63%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

70%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

37%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,39 xG 2,78

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Djurgarden 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	20	14	3	3	+30	+21.2	45
2	Djurgarden	19	12	2	5	+15	+0.3	38
3	Hammarby	20	11	3	6	+16	+2.6	36
4	Mjallby	21	11	3	7	+6	+1.6	36
5	AIK	21	11	2	8	-1	+2.3	35
6	GAIS	21	10	3	8	+0	-2.8	33
7	Elfsborg	20	10	2	8	+10	+3.6	32
8	Hacken	19	9	4	6	+7	-4.1	31
9	Sirius	21	9	4	8	+4	+0.6	31
10	Brommapojkarna	20	6	7	7	-5	+1.8	25
11	Norrkoping	20	7	2	11	-17	-4.1	23
12	Goteborg	20	5	6	9	-10	-4.5	21
13	Halmstad	21	7	0	14	-16	-6.8	21
14	Varnamo	21	5	5	11	-10	-6.4	20
15	Vasteras SK	21	5	3	13	-11	+4.2	18
16	Kalmar	21	5	3	13	-18	-9.1	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	11	8	1	2	+17	+5.3	25
2	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+8.7	24
3	Mjallby	11	7	3	1	+10	+2.6	24
4	GAIS	11	7	2	2	+7	+0.5	23
5	AIK	10	7	0	3	+10	+3.0	21
6	Hammarby	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.7	20
7	Hacken	10	5	2	3	+7	-2.3	17
8	Djurgarden	10	5	2	3	+2	-2.0	17
9	Halmstad	10	5	0	5	+3	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	10	5	0	5	-5	-1.3	15
11	Sirius	10	4	2	4	+5	+2.6	14
12	Vasteras SK	11	3	1	7	-6	+2.6	10
13	Goteborg	10	2	4	4	-6	-3.3	10
14	Brommapojkarna	9	2	3	4	-8	+1.1	9
15	Kalmar	10	2	2	6	-7	-3.2	8
16	Varnamo	11	1	2	8	-14	-3.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	9	7	0	2	+13	+2.3	21
2	Malmo FF	11	6	3	2	+11	+12.5	21
3	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
4	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	+1.9	16
5	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	+3	+0.6	16
6	Varnamo	10	4	3	3	+4	-2.7	15
7	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.8	14
8	AIK	11	4	2	5	-11	-0.7	14
9	Mjallby	10	4	0	6	-4	-1.1	12
10	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.2	11
11	GAIS	10	3	1	6	-7	-3.4	10
12	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-11	-6.0	10
13	Vasteras SK	10	2	2	6	-5	+1.6	8
14	Norrkoping	10	2	2	6	-12	-2.9	8
15	Elfsborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-1.8	7
16	Halmstad	11	2	0	9	-19	-5.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.