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Conference League
Referee: E Məsiyev
Djurgarden
S S T U U
3–1
Full-time
Ilves
S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Ilves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 Ilves – Djurgarden 1–1

Match report

Djurgarden Ilves
1–0 B. Šabović
14′
30′
R. Riski 1–1
2–1 D. Hümmet
43′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 A. Ståhl
51′
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 🟨
56′
A. Priske 🔁
↦ G. Wikheim
65′
68′
🔁 L. Ala-Myllymäki
↦ A. Popovitch
68′
🔁 A. Kanté
↦ M. Söderbäck
V. Bergh 🔁
↦ K. Kosugi
74′
T. Nguen 🔁
↦ D. Hümmet
74′
Adam Stahl 🟨
80′
M. Eriksson 🔁
↦ R. Schüller
82′
H. Radetinac 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
83′
Magnus Eriksson 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Ricardo Araújo
85′
🔁 M. Kivikko
↦ Jorginho
89′
🔁 J. Akpudje
↦ R. Riski
92′
🟨 Joshua Akpudje
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
18 A. Ståhl M
5 M. Tenho D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
14 B. Šabović M
6 R. Schüller M
15 O. Fallenius M
16 T. Gulliksen M
23 G. Wikheim M
11 D. Hümmet F
Bench (11)
26 A. Priske
19 V. Bergh
20 T. Nguen
7 M. Eriksson
9 H. Radetinac
4 J. Une Larsson
17 P. Therkildsen
12 T. Bergvall
40 M. Croon
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist
22 P. Åslund

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Ilves

4-3-3
1 O. Virtanen G
22 A. Mäenpää D
16 T. Miettunen D
5 J. Pikkarainen D
3 Jorginho D
14 A. Popovitch M
6 D. Arifi M
7 J. Veteli M
17 M. Söderbäck M
10 R. Riski F
29 S. Haarala F
Bench (8)
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki
24 A. Kanté
2 M. Kivikko
44 J. Akpudje
32 L. Väyrynen
31 D. Bulgakov
27 J. Riissanen
12 V. Seppä

Coach: J. Rantanen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.