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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Sparta Praha
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,4
4,6
Scored
2,4
2,4
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Malmo FF
16′
🟨 Nils Zätterström
17′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
Veljko Birmančević
penalty missed
19′
Martin Vitík 🟨
25′
27′
Anders Christiansen
penalty missed
41′
🟨 Sergio Peña
Half-time 0–0
Filip Panák 🟨
46′
47′
🟨 Anders Christiansen
59′
🔁 E. Botheim
↦ S. Rieks
A. Rrahmani 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
70′
Á. Preciado 🔁
↦ T. Wiesner
70′
73′
🔁 H. Bolin
↦ C. Rösler
73′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ A. Christiansen
1–0 L. Haraslín
80′
2–0 A. Rrahmani
L. Haraslín
83′
Albion Rrahmani 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 Z. Loukili
↦ L. Berg Johnsen
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
25 A. Sørensen D
28 T. Wiesner M
20 Q. Laçi M
6 K. Kairinen M
32 M. Ryneš M
14 V. Birmančević F
7 V. Olatunji F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
10 A. Rrahmani
17 Á. Preciado
29 E. Krasniqi
8 D. Pavelka
4 M. Solbakken
24 V. Vorel
9 J. Kuchta
18 L. Sadílek
5 M. Ross
13 K. Daněk
11 I. Tuci
30 J. Zelený

Coach: L. Friis

Malmo FF

3-4-3
27 J. Dahlin G
19 C. Rösler D
18 P. Jansson D
35 N. Zätterström D
17 J. Stryger Larsen M
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
25 Gabriel Busanello M
5 S. Rieks F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
10 A. Christiansen F
Bench (12)
20 E. Botheim
38 H. Bolin
22 T. Ali
34 Z. Loukili
16 O. Berg
37 A. Skogmar
1 Ricardo Friedrich
14 S. Jørgensen
33 E. Makolli
7 O. Rosengren
13 M. Olsson
30 J. Persson

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.