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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
SK Rapid
S S T T U
3–2
Full-time
Salzburg
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

33% Possession 67%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 5 4 0 1 +6 12
2 Salzburg 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Austria Vienna 4 2 1 1 +2 7
4 SK Rapid 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 BW Linz 5 2 1 2 -2 7
6 A. Klagenfurt 5 2 1 2 -2 7
7 Wolfsberger AC 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Altach 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Tirol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
10 LASK 4 1 0 3 -2 3
11 Grazer AK 5 0 3 2 -3 3
12 Hartberg 4 0 2 2 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Salzburg
5′
D. Nene 0–1
O. Gloukh
1–1 I. Jansson
M. Seidl
19′
D. Beljo 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
30′
2–1 J. Auer
37′
Half-time 2–2
48′
P. Ratkov 2–2
48′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
51′
🟨 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
55′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
55′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ M. Kjærgaard
55′
🔁 N. Capaldo
↦ P. Ratkov
D. Kaygin 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
58′
3–2 I. Jansson
L. Grgić
60′
Bendegúz Bolla 🟨
63′
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
81′
T. Børkeeiet 🔁
↦ L. Grgić
81′
M. Hofmann 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
81′
89′
ℹ️ Adam Daghim
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
🟨 Mamady Diambou
93′
🟨 Nene Dorgeles
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-2-2
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetković D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
23 J. Auer D
8 L. Grgić M
17 M. Sangaré M
21 L. Schaub M
18 M. Seidl M
9 G. Burgstaller F
22 I. Jansson F
Bench (7)
7 D. Beljo
24 D. Kaygin
28 M. Oswald
16 T. Børkeeiet
20 M. Hofmann
3 B. Böckle
25 P. Gartler

Coach: R. Klauß

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
14 M. Kjærgaard D
15 M. Diambou M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
30 O. Gloukh M
45 D. Nene F
21 P. Ratkov F
49 M. Yeo F
Bench (7)
18 M. Bidstrup
28 A. Daghim
7 N. Capaldo
4 H. Blank
36 J. Mellberg
5 B. Okoh
24 A. Schlager

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.