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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Tromso
T U T S S
2–2
Full-time
Viking
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
35%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 45%
30%
60%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,02 xG 2,48
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
5 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 9. · Viking 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 13 5 2 +31 +15.7 44
2 Viking 20 10 6 4 +12 +10.5 36
3 Brann 19 10 6 3 +10 +10.5 36
4 Molde 19 10 4 5 +16 +11.9 34
5 Fredrikstad 21 9 7 5 +6 +4.2 34
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 +0 +0.4 30
7 KFUM Oslo 20 7 8 5 +2 +6.8 29
8 Ham-Kam 20 6 6 8 -1 -1.9 24
9 Tromso 20 7 3 10 -5 -11.8 24
10 Stromsgodset 20 6 5 9 -9 -5.9 23
11 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 5 9 -13 -7.3 23
12 Kristiansund 18 5 6 7 -3 -8.0 21
13 Haugesund 20 6 3 11 -9 -5.2 21
14 Sandefjord 19 5 5 9 -4 -0.8 20
15 Lillestrom 21 6 2 13 -16 -5.7 20
16 Odd 21 4 6 11 -17 -13.2 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Viking
1–0 V. Erlien
R. Norheim
16′
Runar Robinsonn Norheim 🟨
28′
2–0 A. Jenssen
J. Romsaas
30′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 V. Vevatne
↦ J. Urbančič
60′
🟨 Hampus Finndell
60′
🔁 C. Cappis
↦ H. Finndell
H. Larsen 🔁
↦ J. Romsaas
73′
Y. Paintsil 🔁
↦ L. Cornic
74′
74′
🔁 Y. de Lanlay
↦ E. Austbø
74′
🔁 S. Kvia-Egeskog
↦ S. Svendsen
74′
🔁 P. Christiansen
↦ L. Salvesen
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ R. Norheim
82′
D. Edvardsson 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
82′
84′
P. Christiansen 2–1
86′
V. Vevatne 2–2
Z. Tripić
96′
🟨 Joe Bell
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tromso

5-3-2
1 J. Haugaard G
2 L. Cornic D
5 A. Jenssen D
21 T. Guddal D
4 V. Skjærvik D
23 R. Norheim D
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
10 J. Romsaas F
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (8)
19 H. Larsen
17 Y. Paintsil
25 L. Nilsen
20 D. Edvardsson
28 C. Psyché
14 M. Barry
18 M. Johnsgård
12 S. Thomas

Coach: J. Vik

Viking

4-1-4-1
1 A. Østbø G
2 H. Haugen D
6 G. Stensness D
4 S. Langås D
23 J. Urbančič D
8 J. Bell M
10 Z. Tripić M
13 H. Finndell M
29 S. Svendsen M
17 E. Austbø M
9 L. Salvesen F
Bench (9)
3 V. Vevatne
27 C. Cappis
11 Y. de Lanlay
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
20 P. Christiansen
31 N. Fuglestad
15 H. Heggheim
33 J. Hansen
51 A. Bergsvik

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.