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Svenska Cupen
Referee: A Ladebäck
Malmo FF
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
3,7
3,2
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Djurgarden 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 6 5 1 0 +19 16
2 Djurgarden 6 5 1 0 +17 16
3 AIK 6 4 2 0 +8 14
4 Halmstad 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Brommapojkarna 5 3 1 1 +8 10
6 Mjallby 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Goteborg 4 3 0 1 +1 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Sirius 4 2 2 0 +8 8
12 Norrkoping 5 2 2 1 +7 8
13 Degerfors 5 2 2 1 +5 8
14 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
16 Hammarby 4 2 1 1 +3 7
17 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
18 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
19 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
20 Vasteras SK 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
22 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +3 6
23 IK brage 4 1 3 0 +2 6
24 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
25 United Nordic 5 2 0 3 -1 6
26 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
27 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
28 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -1 4
30 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
31 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
32 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
33 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
42 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 4 1 0 3 -6 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Djurgarden
9′
🟨 B. Sabovic
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 T. Gulliksen
T. Ali 🔁
↦ S. Rieks
61′
P. Jansson 🟨
65′
65′
🔁 O. Fallenius
↦ G. Wikheim
D. Cornelius 🟨
67′
1–0 T. Ali
L. Berg Johnsen
71′
O. Rosengren 🔁
↦ S. Peña
72′
S. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
72′
73′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ S. Leach Holm
78′
🟨 D. Hummet
79′
D. Hümmet 1–1
T. Gulliksen
S. Jorgensen 🟨
83′
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
86′
90′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ D. Hümmet
105′
🔁 M. Eriksson
↦ L. Bergvall
Busanello 🟨
106′
110′
🟨 M. Eriksson
M. Olsson 🔁
↦ P. Jansson
112′
115′
🟨 M. Tenho
2–1 A. Christiansen
121′
122′
M. Danielson 2–2
3–2 I. Kiese Thelin
123′
124′
H. Radetinac
penalty missed
4–2 M. Olsson
125′
126′
T. Gulliksen
penalty missed
5–2 L. Berg Johnsen
127′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

27 J. Dahlin
17 J. Stryger Larsen
18 P. Jansson
19 D. Cornelius
25 Gabriel Busanello
5 S. Rieks
8 S. Peña
11 S. Nanasi
23 L. Berg Johnsen
9 I. Kiese Thelin
20 E. Botheim
Bench (9)
22 T. Ali
7 O. Rosengren
14 S. Jørgensen
10 A. Christiansen
13 M. Olsson
38 H. Bolin
33 E. Makolli
3 A. Tinnerholm
1 Ricardo Friedrich

Coach: H. Rydström

Djurgarden

35 J. Widell Zetterström
3 M. Danielson
2 P. Johansson
5 M. Tenho
26 S. Dahl
23 G. Wikheim
14 B. Šabović
10 S. Leach Holm
21 L. Bergvall
11 D. Hümmet
16 T. Gulliksen
Bench (9)
15 O. Fallenius
8 A. Ekdal
9 H. Radetinac
7 M. Eriksson
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist
17 P. Therkildsen
27 K. Kosugi
22 M. Qurbanlı
4 J. Une Larsson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.