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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Djurgarden
S U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 66%
53%
79%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
47%
79%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
43%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 0,88
35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Djurgarden 4. · Malmo FF 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 15 11 3 1 +24 +3.0 36
2 Hacken 16 11 2 3 +24 -0.3 35
3 Malmo FF 14 11 1 2 +23 +0.6 34
4 Djurgarden 15 8 3 4 +5 27
5 Halmstad 15 7 3 5 -3 -0.5 24
6 Norrkoping 15 6 4 5 +3 +3.7 22
7 Kalmar 15 6 4 5 -2 -2.3 22
8 Hammarby 16 6 4 6 -3 +0.4 22
9 Mjallby 15 5 4 6 -3 -3.9 19
10 Brommapojkarna 15 6 1 8 -5 +0.3 19
11 Sirius 15 4 5 6 -4 -0.3 17
12 Varnamo 15 5 1 9 -5 +0.1 16
13 Degerfors 16 4 2 10 -24 +0.2 14
14 AIK 14 2 4 8 -7 10
15 Goteborg 15 1 6 8 -6 -1.9 9
16 Varberg 14 1 5 8 -17 +0.8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Djurgarden Malmo FF
1–0 O. Fallenius
O. Berg
10′
Elias Andersson 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
67′
🔁 L. Nielsen
↦ J. Ceesay
75′
🔁 D. Cornelius
↦ P. Jansson
75′
🔁 S. Jørgensen
↦ S. Rieks
B. Šabović 🔁
↦ H. Finndell
76′
N. Milleskog 🔁
↦ J. Asoro
77′
Besard Sabović 🟨
78′
2–0 H. Radetinac
O. Berg
81′
82′
🟨 Otto Rosengren
85′
🟨 Lasse Nielsen
86′
🔁 P. Sejdiu
↦ Busanello
86′
🔁 O. Lewicki
↦ O. Rosengren
L. Bergvall 🔁
↦ O. Fallenius
87′
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ O. Berg
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
4 J. Löfgren D
3 M. Danielson D
8 E. Andersson D
15 O. Fallenius M
6 R. Schüller M
13 H. Finndell M
11 O. Berg F
10 J. Asoro F
9 H. Radetinac F
Bench (9)
14 B. Šabović
29 N. Milleskog
21 L. Bergvall
16 R. Kaib
27 J. Une-Larsson
23 G. Wikheim
17 Carlos Moros
30 T. Vaiho
7 M. Eriksson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
15 J. Ceesay D
18 P. Jansson D
4 N. Moisander D
25 Busanello D
5 S. Rieks M
17 O. Rosengren M
8 S. Peña M
22 T. Ali F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
11 S. Nanasi F
Bench (9)
24 L. Nielsen
19 D. Cornelius
14 S. Jørgensen
36 P. Sejdiu
6 O. Lewicki
38 H. Bolin
30 I. Diawara
35 S. Kotto
20 M. Zeidan

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.