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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Besiktas

T S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Sivasspor

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,3

Scored

3,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,38 xG 0,19

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 5. · Sivasspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+5.7	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.3	9
3	Eyüpspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.1	8
4	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.8	7
5	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
6	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
7	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.7	5
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.6	4
9	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
10	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.4	4
11	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.4	4
12	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
13	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
14	Bodrumspor	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.0	3
15	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
16	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.8	2
17	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.4	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
2	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
3	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
4	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
5	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
6	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
7	Bodrumspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
8	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
9	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
13	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
15	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
17	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
18	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
2	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	+2.6	4
3	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
5	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
6	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
7	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
9	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
10	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
11	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
15	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
16	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.9	0
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0
19	Bodrumspor	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.