Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Lille

U S S S T

1–3

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lille Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

5,5

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+4,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,40 xG 2,60

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 6. · Paris SG 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.2	7
2	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
3	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.5	7
4	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
5	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+9	+5.8	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
7	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.8	6
8	Nice	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.1	4
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.1	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.7	4
11	Rennes	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.2	3
12	Brest	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
13	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.3	3
14	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.0	3
15	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.2	1
17	Angers	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.0	0
18	St Etienne	3	0	0	3	-7	-5.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.2	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
8	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
11	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.5	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
13	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
14	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.4	1
17	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
2	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
5	Nice	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
8	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
9	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
13	Brest	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
14	Rennes	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
15	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
16	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
17	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.5	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.