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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Le Havre
S T T T S
3–1
Full-time
Auxerre
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,76 xG 0,58
49% Possession 51%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Le Havre 9. · Auxerre 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +6 +3.2 7
2 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +4 -0.4 7
3 Monaco 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.5 7
4 Lens 3 2 1 0 +3 +4.2 7
5 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +9 +5.8 6
6 Lille 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.3 6
7 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.1 4
8 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.4 3
9 Le Havre 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.4 3
10 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.9 3
11 Brest 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
12 Lyon 3 1 0 2 -4 -2.0 3
13 Toulouse 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
14 Nice 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
15 Reims 2 0 1 1 -2 -4.3 1
16 Montpellier 3 0 1 2 -8 -3.2 1
17 Angers 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.1 0
18 St Etienne 3 0 0 3 -7 -5.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Auxerre
11′
🟨 Paul Joly
14′
🟨 Ki-Jana Hoever
17′
G. Perrin 0–1
0–2 E. Owusu
own goal
23′
28′
🟨 Lassine Sinayoko
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Ki-Jana Hoever
46′
🟥 Ki-Jana Hoever
46′
🔁 C. Akpa
↦ T. Bair
Rassoul Ndiaye ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
1–2 R. Ndiaye
C. Opéri
52′
J. Casimir 🔁
↦ R. Ndiaye
61′
A. Joujou 🔁
↦ I. Soumaré
62′
66′
🔁 S. Diomandé
↦ G. Osho
66′
🔁 K. Danois
↦ G. Perrin
67′
🔁 F. Ayé
↦ L. Sinayoko
Josué Casimir 🟨
81′
D. Kuzyaev 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
82′
83′
🔁 E. Maddy
↦ P. Joly
89′
🟨 Jubal
2–2 A. Touré
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Le Havre

5-4-1
30 A. Desmas G
7 L. Nego D
93 A. Sangante D
22 Y. Salmier D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
19 R. Ndiaye M
8 Y. Kechta M
94 A. Touré M
5 O. Targhalline M
45 I. Soumaré F
Bench (9)
23 J. Casimir
21 A. Joujou
14 D. Kuzyaev
29 S. Grandsir
78 D. Mosengo
46 I. Housni
18 Y. Zouaoui
77 S. Ngoura
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: D. Digard

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon G
23 K. Hoever D
4 Jubal D
3 G. Osho D
26 P. Joly D
97 R. Raveloson M
42 E. Owusu M
10 G. Perrin M
25 H. Traoré M
17 L. Sinayoko M
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
92 C. Akpa
20 S. Diomandé
27 K. Danois
19 F. Ayé
11 E. Maddy
29 B. Viadère
5 T. Pellenard
40 T. De Percin
18 A. Dioussé

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,28
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.