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Serie A

Referee: M Guida

Juventus

S U S S S

0–0

Full-time

Roma

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,47 xG 0,37

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 3. · Roma 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.9	7
2	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.7	7
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.7	6
4	Verona	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
5	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.4	6
6	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
7	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+1	+3.0	4
8	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
10	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.4	4
11	Fiorentina	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.0	3
12	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
13	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
14	Milan	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
15	Monza	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.1	2
16	Cagliari	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
17	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.8	2
18	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
19	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
20	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.5	4
4	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
8	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
9	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.3	3
10	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
11	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.7	2
12	Cagliari	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
13	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
16	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
2	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
4	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
7	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
8	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
12	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
13	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
14	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
19	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
20	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.