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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varnamo

U T S T T

1–0

Full-time

AIK

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 10. · AIK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Kalmar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Hammarby	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Varnamo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	AIK	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Varberg	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Degerfors	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Sirius	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Goteborg	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Brommapojkarna	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Varberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sirius	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Goteborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Sirius	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Varberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Djurgarden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	AIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Goteborg	2	0	0	2	-3	0
13	Hammarby	2	0	0	2	-4	0
14	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.