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Allsvenskan

Referee: M Al Hakim

Vasteras SK

S T S U T

1–2

Full-time

AIK

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

19%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,1

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,94 xG 1,49

60% Possession 40%

7 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 16. · AIK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	17	12	2	3	+28	+16.5	38
2	Djurgarden	16	11	1	4	+16	+0.9	34
3	Mjallby	17	9	2	6	+4	-0.6	29
4	Hammarby	16	9	1	6	+10	+0.3	28
5	GAIS	16	9	1	6	+0	-2.8	28
6	Hacken	17	8	3	6	+5	-3.3	27
7	Elfsborg	17	8	1	8	+7	+4.3	25
8	Sirius	16	6	3	7	+0	-0.2	21
9	Brommapojkarna	16	5	6	5	-5	+2.5	21
10	Halmstad	16	7	0	9	-7	-3.3	21
11	AIK	16	6	2	8	-7	+1.3	20
12	Varnamo	16	5	3	8	-4	-4.6	18
13	Goteborg	16	5	3	8	-8	-4.1	18
14	Norrkoping	16	5	2	9	-17	-3.7	17
15	Kalmar	16	5	1	10	-12	-6.6	16
16	Vasteras SK	16	3	3	10	-10	+3.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+7.4	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+14	+4.0	19
4	GAIS	8	6	1	1	+6	+1.2	19
5	Hammarby	8	6	0	2	+11	+0.2	18
6	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
7	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
8	AIK	8	5	0	3	+8	+2.6	15
9	Halmstad	8	5	0	3	+5	+1.2	15
10	Norrkoping	8	4	0	4	-5	-1.4	12
11	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
12	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-4.7	8
13	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.7	7
14	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
15	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-9	+0.0	6
16	Varnamo	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
2	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+10	+9.1	17
3	Brommapojkarna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.5	15
4	Varnamo	8	4	1	3	+4	-3.0	13
5	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
6	Hammarby	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.1	10
7	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.6	10
8	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-4	-1.9	10
9	Mjallby	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
10	GAIS	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.0	9
11	Kalmar	8	3	0	5	-8	-5.0	9
12	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
13	Halmstad	8	2	0	6	-12	-4.4	6
14	Vasteras SK	8	1	2	5	-5	+1.5	5
15	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
16	AIK	8	1	2	5	-15	-1.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.