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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Elfsborg

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Malmo FF

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

2,8

3,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 84%

78%

89%

Points per game

2,4

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,4

2,6

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

27% Possession 73%

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

26 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 2. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	Elfsborg	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Hacken	10	6	1	3	+13	19
4	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	+2	19
5	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	17
6	Kalmar	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Brommapojkarna	10	5	1	4	-1	16
8	Halmstad	10	5	0	5	-5	15
9	Mjallby	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Degerfors	10	3	1	6	-14	10
12	Varnamo	9	3	0	6	-4	9
13	Sirius	10	1	5	4	-7	8
14	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	+1	7
15	AIK	10	1	3	6	-7	6
16	Varberg	9	0	4	5	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Malmo FF	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Degerfors	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Elfsborg	4	3	0	1	+10	9
8	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Mjallby	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Norrkoping	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Varnamo	5	2	0	3	+0	6
13	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	+4	5
14	AIK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Varberg	5	0	3	2	-8	3
16	Sirius	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Norrkoping	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Brommapojkarna	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Hacken	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Kalmar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Sirius	6	1	4	1	-2	7
8	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Hammarby	6	0	2	4	-8	2
13	Varberg	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	AIK	6	0	1	5	-6	1
15	Djurgarden	5	0	1	4	-7	1
16	Degerfors	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.