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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Varnamo

S S T U T

0–4

Full-time

Malmo FF

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,8

Scored

1,2

4,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+3,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,37 xG 1,82

34% Possession 66%

5 Shots 14

0 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Malmo FF 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.2	7
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.2	7
3	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.3	6
4	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.0	6
5	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-4.0	6
6	AIK	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
7	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.4	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
9	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.0	3
10	Goteborg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.8	3
11	GAIS	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.1	3
12	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-6	-2.6	3
13	Hacken	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
14	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
15	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+2.5	0
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
2	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
3	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
4	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
9	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
14	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
15	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
16	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.4	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
7	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
8	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
10	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
11	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
13	Vasteras SK	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
14	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
16	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.