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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Malmo FF
S T T U S
3–0
Full-time
Halmstad
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Halmstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
71%
41%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
71%
47%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,51 xG 1,00
71% Possession 29%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Halmstad 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 18 13 3 2 +27 +6.4 42
2 Hacken 18 12 2 4 +25 -1.0 38
3 Malmo FF 17 12 2 3 +23 +0.4 38
4 Djurgarden 18 10 3 5 +4 -1.6 33
5 Kalmar 18 7 5 6 -3 -1.6 26
6 Norrkoping 17 7 4 6 +3 +5.0 25
7 Hammarby 18 7 4 7 -3 +0.7 25
8 Halmstad 17 7 4 6 -8 -1.0 25
9 Mjallby 17 6 4 7 -3 -4.4 22
10 Varnamo 18 7 1 10 -4 +1.1 22
11 Brommapojkarna 18 7 1 10 -8 +0.4 22
12 AIK 18 4 6 8 -5 -1.3 18
13 Sirius 18 4 5 9 -7 +0.8 17
14 Degerfors 18 5 2 11 -23 -2.1 17
15 Goteborg 17 2 7 8 -4 -1.9 13
16 Varberg 17 2 5 10 -14 -0.0 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.