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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
AIK
T S T U S
4–0
Full-time
Sundsvall
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Sundsvall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
50%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 4. · Sundsvall 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 21 13 6 2 +22 45
2 Djurgarden 21 13 5 3 +27 44
3 Hammarby 20 12 4 4 +26 40
4 AIK 20 10 6 4 +6 36
5 Malmo FF 20 10 4 6 +9 34
6 Goteborg 20 10 3 7 +9 33
7 Kalmar 20 10 3 7 +6 33
8 Mjallby 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Sirius 21 7 4 10 -9 25
10 Elfsborg 20 5 9 6 +6 24
11 Norrkoping 20 5 6 9 -5 21
12 Varberg 20 5 6 9 -16 21
13 Varnamo 20 4 7 9 -13 19
14 Degerfors 21 4 4 13 -23 16
15 Helsingborg 20 3 5 12 -16 14
16 Sundsvall 20 3 1 16 -32 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Sundsvall
Sebastian Larsson 🟨
18′
1–0 N. Stefanelli
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Bahoui
N. Stefanelli
57′
A. Björnström 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
66′
66′
🔁 L. Nåvik
↦ J. Corona
66′
🔁 P. Makrillos
↦ E. Andersson
Z. Elbouzedi 🔁
↦ E. Ring
75′
75′
🔁 M. Burman
↦ P. Engblom
79′
🟨 Marcus Burman
3–0 N. Stefanelli
82′
86′
🔁 P. Silfwer
↦ S. Ylätupa
V. Andersson 🔁
↦ N. Stefanelli
87′
T. Ayari 🔁
↦ Y. Ayari
87′
H. Meja 🔁
↦ N. Bahoui
87′
93′
🟨 Forrest Lasso
4–0 S. Larsson
94′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-2-3-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
25 E. Otieno D
2 J. Mendes D
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui F
8 B. Hussein M
26 Y. Ayari M
9 N. Stefanelli M
34 E. Ring M
Bench (7)
12 A. Björnström
20 Z. Elbouzedi
42 V. Andersson
35 T. Ayari
30 H. Meja
24 J. Ceesay
23 B. Janošević

Coach: H. Goitom

Sundsvall

3-5-2
35 O. Jonsson G
15 R. Lundström M
22 R. Lindkvist D
4 A. Blomqvist D
5 D. Olsson M
3 F. Lasso D
20 J. Corona M
7 E. Andersson M
11 S. Ylätupa F
14 P. Pichkah M
21 P. Engblom F
Bench (7)
23 L. Nåvik
6 P. Makrillos
16 M. Burman
8 P. Silfwer
1 A. Andersson
27 Gabriel Castro
19 T. Stenshagen

Coach: B. Clarhaut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.