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Champions League
Referee: K Tohver
Malmo FF
S U S T S
0–2
Full-time
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Corners 2
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -22 FK Zalgiris Vilnius – Malmo FF 1–0

Match report

Malmo FF FK Zalgiris Vilnius
26′
🟨 Nicolas Gorobsov
29′
🟨 Joel Bopesu
32′
🟨 Marko Milickovic
34′
⚽ M. Oyewusi 0–1
O. Buff
Anders Christiansen 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
I. Kiese Thelin 🔁
↦ V. Birmančević
46′
52′
⚽ Renan Oliveira 0–2
P. Sejdiu 🔁
↦ J. Inge Berget
57′
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ J. Knudsen
57′
57′
🔁 F. Kyeremeh
↦ M. Oyewusi
65′
🟨 Fabien Ourega
E. Larsson 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
71′
71′
🔁 G. Jarusevičius
↦ F. Ourega
71′
🔁 D. Kazlauskas
↦ Renan Oliveira
72′
🟨 Francis Kyeremeh
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ S. Peña
76′
Anders Christiansen 🟨
78′
Anders Christiansen 🟥
78′
78′
🟨 Gustas Jarusevicius
81′
🔁 S. Mikoliūnas
↦ O. Buff
Ola Toivonen 🟨
83′
89′
🟨 Nemanja Ljubisavljević
Eric Larsson 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
14 F. Beijmo D
24 L. Nielsen D
4 N. Moisander D
3 J. Knudsen D
20 M. Zeidan M
8 S. Peña M
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Inge Berget M
11 O. Toivonen F
19 V. Birmančević M
Bench (11)
9 I. Kiese Thelin
36 P. Sejdiu
5 S. Rieks
2 E. Larsson
31 H. Larsson
21 D. Hadžikadunić
23 M. Chaluš
39 V. Andersson
30 I. Diawara
7 E. Rakip
13 M. Olsson

Coach: M. Milojević

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
7 J. Bopesu M
3 M. Pavelić D
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
12 P. Mamić D
23 O. Buff M
33 M. Milićković M
5 N. Gorobsov M
92 F. Ourega M
99 M. Oyewusi F
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (12)
77 F. Kyeremeh
96 G. Jarusevičius
9 D. Kazlauskas
13 S. Mikoliūnas
27 J. Tadic
88 M. Kuklys
4 K. Kažukolovas
15 I. Tatomirović
24 M. Burba
25 T. Duka
81 M. Mikulenas
95 G. Ralys

Coach: V. Cheburin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Tohver · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.